Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PFGC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$39.86
Method range
$13.51 – $168.31
median $77.93
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $39.86 | -58.96% |
| Exit multiple | $168.31 | +73.31% |
| Analyst target | $116.00 | +19.44% |
| Graham number | $13.51 | -86.09% |
- Forward DCF$39.86
- Exit multiple$168.31
- Analyst target$116.00
- Graham number$13.51
Stock price
$97.12
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.48
3Y FCF CAGR
123.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$77329.74
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
10.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
123.5%
Your model implies
10.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 124% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 4.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% |
| 10.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% |
| 11.2% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.93
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Performance Food Group (PFGC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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