Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PFGC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$39.89
Method range
$13.48 – $210.51
median $80.94
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $39.89 | -64.18% |
| Exit multiple | $210.51 | +89.02% |
| Analyst target | $122.00 | +9.54% |
| Graham number | $13.48 | -87.89% |
- Forward DCF$39.89
- Exit multiple$210.51
- Analyst target$122.00
- Graham number$13.48
Stock price
$111.37
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.41
3Y FCF CAGR
123.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$75,899.32
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
12.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
123.5%
Your model implies
12.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 124% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 4.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% |
| 9.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% |
| 10.2% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% |
| 11.2% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.92B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.91
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Performance Food Group (PFGC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.