Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,637.35
Method range
$136.59 – $1,637.35
median $862.72
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,637.35 | +85.57% |
| Exit multiple | $680.35 | -22.89% |
| Analyst target | $1,045.08 | +18.44% |
| Graham number | $136.59 | -84.52% |
- Forward DCF$1,637.35
- Exit multiple$680.35
- Analyst target$1,045.08
- Graham number$136.59
Stock price
$882.34
FCF / share (TTM)
$6.98
3Y FCF CAGR
9.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$145.23
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
34.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -507.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.2%
Your model implies
34.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 9% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | 30.7% | 29.9% | 29.0% | 28.0% | 26.9% |
| 9.5% | 33.3% | 32.6% | 31.8% | 31.0% | 30.0% |
| 10.5% | 35.8% | 35.2% | 34.5% | 33.7% | 32.9% |
| 11.5% | 38.2% | 37.6% | 36.9% | 36.3% | 35.6% |
| 12.5% | 40.4% | 39.9% | 39.3% | 38.7% | 38.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
4.45
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$9.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.18
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Parker-Hannifin (PH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation