Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what PH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,704.05
Method range
$136.59 – $1,704.05
median $900.53
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,704.05 | +75.54% |
| Exit multiple | $742.72 | -23.49% |
| Analyst target | $1,058.33 | +9.02% |
| Graham number | $136.59 | -85.93% |
- Forward DCF$1,704.05
- Exit multiple$742.72
- Analyst target$1,058.33
- Graham number$136.59
Stock price
$970.77
FCF / share (TTM)
$6.98
3Y FCF CAGR
9.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$150.30
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
35.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -545.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.2%
Your model implies
35.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 9% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 31.4% | 30.5% | 29.6% | 28.5% | 27.4% |
| 9.2% | 34.1% | 33.3% | 32.5% | 31.6% | 30.7% |
| 10.2% | 36.7% | 36.0% | 35.2% | 34.5% | 33.6% |
| 11.2% | 39.1% | 38.4% | 37.8% | 37.1% | 36.4% |
| 12.2% | 41.3% | 40.8% | 40.2% | 39.6% | 38.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
4.45
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$9.17B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.11
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Parker-Hannifin (PH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.69% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.76% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.