PII dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Polaris (PII) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.25), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PII sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.68.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.25
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.25 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.28% | -0.86pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -7.40% | -2.90pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 12 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.68
Per-event yield
0.96%
Annualized yield
3.84%
Previously paid
Jun 1, 2026 ($0.68)
Last record date
Jun 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Polaris (PII). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.68 | -6.04% | $70.57 | 7 | no | yes | -7.10% | -3.13% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | -3.69% | $60.74 | >30 | no | no | -17.83% | -12.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -2.06% | $66.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.75% | +1.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -3.13% | $56.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.66% | +5.69% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | -1.96% | $39.22 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.35% | +7.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -0.24% | $44.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.42% | +7.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.66 | -1.06% | $69.00 | >30 | no | no | -9.88% | -3.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.66 | -1.30% | $84.65 | 11 | no | yes | -9.70% | -6.73% | |
| Q2 | $0.66 | 0.26% | $83.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.64% | -7.45% | |
| Q1 | $0.66 | 0.70% | $92.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.30% | +0.65% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | -0.52% | $85.88 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.52% | +5.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.65 | -0.05% | $112.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.85% | -3.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.65 | -1.65% | $108.97 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.10% | +8.89% | |
| Q1 | $0.65 | -0.84% | $114.79 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.05% | +2.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.64 | 0.03% | $113.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.57% | -3.76% | |
| Q3 | $0.64 | 0.00% | $115.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.24% | -2.36% | |
| Q2 | $0.64 | -0.28% | $107.25 | 2 | yes | yes | -9.77% | -1.52% | |
| Q1 | $0.64 | -1.73% | $119.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.54% | -8.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -1.06% | $116.07 | 2 | yes | yes | -9.15% | -3.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.63 | -0.91% | $123.55 | 12 | no | yes | -7.56% | -6.17% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 6 | 30% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with PII's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical PII ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.95%
Win rate (20 trades)
75%
Cumulative P&L
-18.94%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-34.56%
Best event
+1.71%
Worst event
-12.07%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PII (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -6.17% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.79% | |
| -6.73% | |
| -3.03% | |
| +1.49% | |
| +1.71% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.01% | |
| -12.07% | |
| -3.13% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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