How is PII's price target calculated?

Price targets here use projected EPS × exit P/E. Future EPS = TTM EPS × (1 + growth)^years, then price = future EPS × P/E. The tool pre-fills analyst consensus and historical ranges for Polaris (PII) so you can compare your assumptions to the data.

What is PII's base-case price target?

With about -18% annual EPS growth and a 14× exit P/E over 5 years based on consensus from 10 analysts, the base case for Polaris (PII) lands near $-40.09, implying roughly 0.0% CAGR. This is illustrative, not a forecast.

What P/E ratio should I use for PII?

Defaults use the 5-year median P/E (about 13.6×) for the base case, the 25th percentile for bear and the 75th for bull. Adjust the Exit P/E sliders if you have a different valuation view.

What is PII's expected return in this model?

Expected return depends on your assumptions. The calculator reports CAGR = (Future price / Current price)^(1/Years) − 1. This is illustrative only and not investment advice.

Is PII's P/E high or low historically?

PII currently trades at about 29.4× earnings, 115.6% above its 5-year median of 13.6×. The historical multiples card shows the full 5- and 10-year range.

How fast has PII's EPS grown over the past 5 years?

Polaris (PII) grew diluted EPS at about -17.8% per year over the trailing 5 fiscal years. Historical growth is one input; the bull and bear cases let you pressure-test what happens if the next 5 years differ.

What time horizon does the price target use?

The default horizon is 5 years; you can change it from 1 to 10 years. Longer horizons compound EPS growth and re-rating effects more strongly, so total returns become more sensitive to assumptions.

Is this a recommendation to buy or sell PII?

No. The price-target calculator is an educational tool that turns explicit growth and P/E assumptions into a model price. Peers in the Consumer Cyclical sector are listed below for context. It is not investment advice and does not predict future returns.

PII stock price target — bear, base, bull scenarios

Stock price

$65.83

TTM EPS

-$7.84

P/E (TTM)

29.40

Net debt

$1.4B

Beta

1.26

Valuation context

How today's valuation compares to its own 5-year history.

P/E vs 5Y median

Where today's P/E sits versus its trailing five-year median.

+115.6%

Stretched

DiscountFair valuePremiumStretched

−50%at median+50%

PII trades 115.6% above its 5-year median P/E — well beyond its historical range.

Breakdown5Y low · median · 5Y highToday

P/E

10.213.647.2

29.4

P/S

0.50.60.9

0.5

EV/EBITDA

7.09.114.8

9.1

EPS 5Y

5Y CAGR-17.8%

PEG0.19(fair vs growth)

Scenario calculator

Enter EPS growth and exit P/E per scenario. The chart starts at the current share price (Now) and transitions the P/E from today's trailing multiple toward your Exit P/E over the horizon. Same live price and TTM EPS as the rest of the page.

Price target (simple) needs positive TTM EPS. Try Advanced (revenue) mode when earnings are negative.

Horizon

Annual diluted EPS

GAAP diluted EPS by fiscal year — use as context for growth assumptions above, not a forecast. Across 14 fiscal years, diluted EPS went from about $4.40 in 2012 to about $-8.18 in 2025.

Scale: -8.18 to 9.81 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Diluted EPS year-over-year change

Percent change vs the previous fiscal year. If a fiscal year is missing, the comparison is to the prior available year. Year-over-year EPS change in this window ranged from a high of +296.0% to a low of -519.5%.

Polaris (PII) Key Financials

Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Community price target

Where PII forecasters and Wall Street see the stock 12 months out. The community figure is the median saved base-case target across members, shown once at least 5 members have saved one.

Community 12-month—Appears at 5+ saved targets

Wall Street$66.50analyst consensus target

Current price$65.83latest market price

Relative valuation

How PII trades versus its Consumer Cyclical peers and its own history. Lower multiples are cheaper; the band marks where each multiple sits between its 5-year low (left) and high (right).

Cheap

Multiple	PII	Peer median	Sector median	vs own 5-yr range	Verdict
P/E (TTM)	—	27.9×	21.6×	—	No signal
EV/EBITDA	—	19.4×	13.0×	—	No signal
P/S (TTM)	0.4×	2.9×	1.8×	13%	Cheap

P/E (TTM)—
No signal
EV/EBITDA—
No signal
P/S (TTM)0.4×
Cheap

Peers in the Consumer Cyclical sector

Compare PII against its Consumer Cyclical peers on the three core multiples. Lower is cheaper; tap a column to rank the peer set. Open any peer's price target page for its full scenario breakdown. Filtered to active common stock, excluding ETFs and funds.


Amazon (AMZN)	24.6×	12.2×	3.0×	$2.63T
Tesla (TSLA)	310.2×	96.7×	12.3×	$1.55T
Home Depot (HD)	22.2×	15.2×	1.9×	$347.27B
Alibaba (BABA)	—	—	—	$233.72B
McDonald's (MCD)	25.5×	18.4×	8.0×	$194.83B
TJX Companies (TJX)	30.3×	20.4×	2.9×	$167.15B
Booking Holdings (BKNG)	21.6×	14.3×	4.8×	$141.55B
Lowe's Companies (LOW)	19.6×	14.1×	1.5×	$124.11B
PDD Holdings (PDD)	—	—	—	$119.90B
Starbucks (SBUX)	66.1×	22.6×	2.6×	$114.25B
Marriott International (MAR)	34.0×	22.0×	3.3×	$98.49B
MercadoLibre (MELI)	45.7×	27.9×	2.8×	$90.95B

About the PII price target calculator

The PII price target calculator projects a future share price by compounding trailing twelve-month earnings per share at an assumed growth rate and applying an exit P/E multiple at the end of the horizon. The stock currently trades at about $65.83.

PII has no usable next-year analyst EPS consensus in our dataset, so the calculator defaults to historical EPS growth for its scenarios. Trailing 5-year EPS history shows a 17.8% decline per year — the model uses that as the base case.

Frequently asked questions

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