PPG Industries (PPG) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 89% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.23), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PPG sits noticeably below the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 10, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 89%-5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.23in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 89% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.23 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.38% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.68% | +2.03pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 18 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.71 |
| Per-event yield | 0.57% |
| Annualized yield | 2.63% |
| Previously paid | Feb 20, 2026 ($0.71) |
| Last record date | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 12, 2026 |
PPG Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for PPG Industries (PPG). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.71 | -0.47% | $124.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.75% | -0.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.71 | -0.54% | $96.25 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.97% | -0.19% | |
| Q3 | $0.71 | -0.18% | $106.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.03% | +4.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.68 | 4.16% | $109.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.40% | +5.03% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | -0.29% | $117.89 | >30 | no | no | -7.41% | -3.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.68 | -0.94% | $125.96 | 10 | no | yes | -4.50% | -3.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -0.59% | $119.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.96% | +3.93% | |
| Q2 | $0.65 | -0.05% | $133.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.48% | +1.50% | |
| Q1 | $0.65 | 0.18% | $140.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.47% | +3.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | -0.04% | $129.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.86% | +4.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.65 | -0.31% | $143.33 | 18 | no | yes | -4.92% | -3.52% | |
| Q2 | $0.62 | -0.92% | $138.68 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.70% | +0.92% | |
| Q1 | $0.62 | -2.10% | $131.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.38% | -0.54% | |
| Q4 | $0.62 | -0.78% | $116.46 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.24% | +11.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.62 | -1.04% | $128.29 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.06% | +7.44% | |
| Q2 | $0.59 | -1.63% | $128.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.39% | -5.81% | |
| Q1 | $0.59 | -1.18% | $151.87 | >30 | no | no | -17.86% | -6.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.59 | -0.27% | $162.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.44% | +1.82% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | -0.15% | $164.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.65% | +3.50% | |
| Q2 | $0.54 | -0.30% | $180.09 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.70% | -0.25% |
- -0.22%
- -0.19%
- +4.42%
- +5.03%
- -3.38%
- -3.33%
- +3.93%
- +1.50%
- +3.51%
- +4.83%
- -3.52%
- +0.92%
- -0.54%
- +11.29%
- +7.44%
- -5.81%
- -6.71%
- +1.82%
- +3.50%
- -0.25%
PPG Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
PPG Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with PPG's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $142.00
- After-tax dividend
- $92.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$24.85
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$67.45
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.27%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~13.7%
PPG Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical PPG ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PPG (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.30% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.36% | |
| -6.71% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.45% | |
| -3.52% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.57% | |
| -3.33% | |
| -3.38% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.57% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.