RenaissanceRe Holdings (RNR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.08), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, RNR sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 14, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.08-0.22 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.08 | -0.22 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.02% | +0.56pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.09% | +2.29pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 13 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.41 |
| Per-event yield | 0.14% |
| Annualized yield | 0.54% |
| Previously paid | Mar 13, 2026 ($0.41) |
| Last record date | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 31, 2026 |
RNR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for RenaissanceRe Holdings (RNR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.41 | 0.85% | $291.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.78% | -0.08% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | 0.10% | $272.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +3.72% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | 0.08% | $247.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.99% | -1.80% | |
| Q2 | $0.40 | -0.74% | $246.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.10% | -0.67% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | 0.33% | $236.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.30% | +0.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.39 | 0.40% | $268.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.95% | -6.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.39 | 0.52% | $254.20 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.02% | +3.88% | |
| Q2 | $0.39 | -1.01% | $221.33 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.88% | +2.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.39 | -0.28% | $236.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.96% | -1.98% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | -2.09% | $201.47 | 13 | no | yes | -6.57% | -3.25% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | 0.48% | $199.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.67% | +2.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -0.65% | $189.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.60% | +0.91% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | 1.31% | $189.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.30% | +3.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.37 | -0.44% | $180.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.72% | +4.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.37 | -0.13% | $146.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.26% | -4.58% | |
| Q2 | $0.37 | 0.14% | $148.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +2.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.37 | 1.19% | $141.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.06% | +6.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.36 | -0.11% | $164.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.32% | +1.37% | |
| Q3 | $0.36 | -0.25% | $146.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.67% | -3.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.36 | -0.23% | $150.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.44% | -3.94% |
- -0.08%
- +3.72%
- -1.80%
- -0.67%
- +0.22%
- -6.89%
- +3.88%
- +2.54%
- -1.98%
- -3.25%
- +2.14%
- +0.91%
- +3.64%
- +4.03%
- -4.58%
- +2.00%
- +6.11%
- +1.37%
- -3.18%
- -3.94%
RNR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
RNR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with RNR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $82.00
- After-tax dividend
- $53.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$58.27
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-4.97
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.01%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.01%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-0.4%
RNR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical RNR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · RNR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.24% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.19% | |
| -3.25% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.