Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ROK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$71.32
Method range
$46.98 – $484.43
median $191.15
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $71.32 | -84.44% |
| Exit multiple | $310.99 | -32.13% |
| Analyst target | $484.43 | +5.72% |
| Graham number | $46.98 | -89.75% |
- Forward DCF$71.32
- Exit multiple$310.99
- Analyst target$484.43
- Graham number$46.98
Stock price
$458.20
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.45
3Y FCF CAGR
5.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$30.90
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
45.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,382.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.4%
Your model implies
45.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 41.5% | 40.8% | 40.0% | 39.2% | 38.4% |
| 11.4% | 43.9% | 43.3% | 42.6% | 41.9% | 41.2% |
| 12.4% | 46.3% | 45.7% | 45.1% | 44.5% | 43.8% |
| 13.4% | 48.6% | 48.1% | 47.5% | 46.9% | 46.3% |
| 14.4% | 50.8% | 50.3% | 49.8% | 49.3% | 48.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.95
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$3.18B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.54
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Rockwell Automation (ROK) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.97% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.19% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.