Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ROK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$71.41
Method range
$46.98 – $464.75
median $189.56
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $71.41 | -84.01% |
| Exit multiple | $307.70 | -31.12% |
| Analyst target | $464.75 | +4.04% |
| Graham number | $46.98 | -89.48% |
- Forward DCF$71.41
- Exit multiple$307.70
- Analyst target$464.75
- Graham number$46.98
Stock price
$446.71
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.45
3Y FCF CAGR
5.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$30.95
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
44.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1343.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.4%
Your model implies
44.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 41.0% | 40.3% | 39.6% | 38.8% | 37.9% |
| 11.4% | 43.5% | 42.9% | 42.2% | 41.5% | 40.7% |
| 12.4% | 45.9% | 45.3% | 44.7% | 44.0% | 43.4% |
| 13.4% | 48.1% | 47.6% | 47.1% | 46.5% | 45.9% |
| 14.4% | 50.3% | 49.9% | 49.3% | 48.8% | 48.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.95
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$3.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.56
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Rockwell Automation (ROK) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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