Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SCCO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$310.99
Method range
$24.93 – $310.99
median $145.47
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $310.99 | +79.80% |
| Exit multiple | $134.78 | -22.08% |
| Analyst target | $156.17 | -9.71% |
| Graham number | $24.93 | -85.59% |
- Forward DCF$310.99
- Exit multiple$134.78
- Analyst target$156.17
- Graham number$24.93
Stock price
$172.97
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.52
3Y FCF CAGR
-1.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$15.13
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
31.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1043.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-1.8%
Your model implies
31.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | 28.2% | 27.3% | 26.4% | 25.3% | 24.2% |
| 9.1% | 30.8% | 30.1% | 29.3% | 28.4% | 27.4% |
| 10.1% | 33.3% | 32.7% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 30.4% |
| 11.1% | 35.7% | 35.1% | 34.4% | 33.8% | 33.0% |
| 12.1% | 37.9% | 37.4% | 36.8% | 36.2% | 35.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.97
Low vs growth
Net debt
$3.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.11
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Southern Copper (SCCO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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