Tanger (SKT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.43), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SKT sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Jul 31, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.43in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.43 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.06% | -0.19pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 68% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.17% | +1.55pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
| Dividend | $0.31 |
| Per-event yield | 0.85% |
| Annualized yield | 3.21% |
| Previously paid | Apr 30, 2026 ($0.31) |
| Last record date | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Last payment date | May 15, 2026 |
SKT Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Tanger (SKT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.31 | -1.03% | $36.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.56% | — | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -1.06% | $32.91 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.41% | +2.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -1.11% | $32.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.32% | +7.39% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -1.89% | $30.64 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.57% | +5.20% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -1.78% | $31.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.29% | -4.20% | |
| Q1 | $0.28 | -0.66% | $33.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.73% | +1.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | -1.00% | $33.97 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.62% | +5.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | -1.27% | $29.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.59% | -6.34% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | -0.35% | $28.88 | 12 | no | yes | -7.13% | -4.07% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -1.08% | $27.90 | 14 | no | yes | -7.99% | -4.91% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | -0.88% | $21.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.24% | +9.87% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.60% | $23.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.77% | +5.49% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | -0.71% | $18.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.32% | +4.74% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | -2.96% | $19.26 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.45% | +1.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -0.86% | $17.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.37% | +8.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -1.39% | $15.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +1.71% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -0.24% | $16.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.96% | +4.98% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | -0.30% | $16.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.60% | -2.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -1.06% | $16.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.53% | +26.27% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -0.97% | $17.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.22% | -1.84% |
- —
- +2.83%
- +7.39%
- +5.20%
- -4.20%
- +1.67%
- +5.17%
- -6.34%
- -4.07%
- -4.91%
- +9.87%
- +5.49%
- +4.74%
- +1.51%
- +8.17%
- +1.71%
- +4.98%
- -2.18%
- +26.27%
- -1.84%
SKT Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
SKT Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with SKT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $62.00
- After-tax dividend
- $40.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$7.35
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$32.95
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.45%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~22.6%
SKT Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical SKT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SKT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.01% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.11% | |
| +1.20% | |
| +1.27% | |
| +1.26% | |
| +1.14% | |
| +1.34% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +1.20% | |
| -4.91% | |
| -4.07% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.85% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.