SRE dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Sempra (SRE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.56), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SRE sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 30, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.56
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.56 | +0.11 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.71% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.86% | +0.89pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 28 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.66
Per-event yield
0.71%
Annualized yield
2.79%
Previously paid
Jun 25, 2026 ($0.66)
Last record date
Jun 25, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Sempra (SRE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.66 | -0.18% | $92.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.56% | +1.06% | |
| Q1 | $0.66 | -0.74% | $95.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.08% | +1.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | -0.97% | $89.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.18% | -1.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | -0.59% | $89.98 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.72% | +4.47% | |
| Q2 | $0.65 | -0.75% | $75.02 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.45% | +0.99% | |
| Q1 | $0.65 | -1.27% | $71.09 | 8 | no | yes | -3.26% | -0.54% | |
| Q4 | $0.62 | -0.28% | $91.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.04% | -3.22% | |
| Q3 | $0.62 | -1.18% | $83.00 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.31% | +0.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.62 | -0.76% | $76.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.91% | +0.84% | |
| Q1 | $0.62 | -1.00% | $71.09 | 6 | no | yes | -3.11% | +1.10% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | -1.02% | $72.81 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.61% | +2.25% | |
| Q3 | $0.60 | -1.47% | $71.66 | 28 | no | yes | -11.04% | -6.59% | |
| Q3 | $1.19 | -0.99% | $72.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.09% | +2.55% | |
| Q1 | $1.19 | -0.22% | $73.76 | 7 | no | yes | -6.07% | +0.20% | |
| Q4 | $1.15 | -0.22% | $78.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.83% | +1.04% | |
| Q3 | $1.15 | -0.57% | $83.13 | >30 | no | no | -10.47% | -7.51% | |
| Q3 | $1.15 | 0.34% | $73.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.67% | +1.37% | |
| Q1 | $1.15 | -1.03% | $79.71 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.23% | +6.89% | |
| Q4 | $1.10 | -0.39% | $64.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.40% | +4.25% | |
| Q3 | $1.10 | -0.84% | $65.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.56% | -1.64% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 50% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with SRE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical SRE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.14%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+2.90%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+68.38%
Best event
+1.71%
Worst event
-7.51%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SRE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.68% | |
| +1.71% | |
| +1.44% | |
| +1.56% | |
| -7.51% | |
| +1.46% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +1.63% | |
| -6.59% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +1.10% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.68% | |
| -0.54% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.71% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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