Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what STZ is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$193.42
Method range
$64.00 – $206.59
median $179.31
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $193.42 | +46.44% |
| Exit multiple | $206.59 | +56.41% |
| Analyst target | $165.20 | +25.08% |
| Graham number | $64.00 | -51.54% |
- Forward DCF$193.42
- Exit multiple$206.59
- Analyst target$165.20
- Graham number$64.00
Stock price
$132.08
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.81
3Y FCF CAGR
3.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$78.38
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
10.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -68.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.8%
Your model implies
10.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | -0.7% |
| 5.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| 6.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| 7.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% |
| 8.6% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 14.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.04
Low vs growth
Net debt
$11.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.38
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Constellation Brands (STZ) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks3.59% TTM
- Dividend Profile3.10% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.