Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SYY is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2,991.29
Method range
$8.75 – $2,991.29
median $90.45
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2,991.29 | +3,820.95% |
| Exit multiple | $90.45 | +18.57% |
| Analyst target | $90.44 | +18.55% |
| Graham number | $8.75 | -88.54% |
- Forward DCF$2,991.29
- Exit multiple$90.45
- Analyst target$90.44
- Graham number$8.75
Stock price
$76.29
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.44
3Y FCF CAGR
6.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$38.83
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
15.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -96.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
6.8%
Your model implies
15.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 7% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| 6.9% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% |
| 7.8% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% |
| 8.8% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 16.5% |
| 9.8% | 21.9% | 21.3% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 19.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$13.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.66
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Sysco (SYY) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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