Ticker League

Fair Value for AT&T (T)

See growth priced into AT&T (T): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what T is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$117.79

Margin of safety
+80.69% vs current price $22.75

Method range

$13.89 $117.79

median $23.75

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$117.79
  • Exit multiple$18.13
  • Analyst target$29.38
  • Graham number$13.89

Stock price

$22.75

FCF / share (TTM)

$0.38

3Y FCF CAGR

-5.5%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$4.95

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

13.2%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -359.8% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

-5.5%

Your model implies

13.2%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)6.6%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)-5%
3Y CAGR -5%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -5% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
5.0%10.0%8.5%6.8%4.6%1.9%
5.6%12.3%11.0%9.6%7.9%5.8%
6.6%15.4%14.4%13.2%12.0%10.5%
7.6%18.2%17.3%16.4%15.4%14.2%
8.6%20.7%20.0%19.2%18.3%17.4%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday8.1
5Y low6.6
Median8.4
5Y high15.5
P/SToday1.4· at high
5Y low1.0
Median1.1
5Y high1.4
EV/EBITDAToday6.1
5Y low5.8
Median6.1
5Y high13.4

PEG

7.02

Demanding vs growth

Net debt

$155.8B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.42

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions