Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TEL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$120.32
Method range
$51.31 – $260.29
median $163.83
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $120.32 | -39.93% |
| Exit multiple | $207.35 | +3.53% |
| Analyst target | $260.29 | +29.96% |
| Graham number | $51.31 | -74.38% |
- Forward DCF$120.32
- Exit multiple$207.35
- Analyst target$260.29
- Graham number$51.31
Stock price
$200.28
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.03
3Y FCF CAGR
15.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$101.03
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
25.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -98.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
15.8%
Your model implies
25.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 16% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 19.4% | 18.4% |
| 9.5% | 24.3% | 23.6% | 22.9% | 22.1% | 21.3% |
| 10.5% | 26.5% | 25.9% | 25.3% | 24.6% | 23.9% |
| 11.5% | 28.6% | 28.1% | 27.6% | 27.0% | 26.3% |
| 12.5% | 30.7% | 30.2% | 29.7% | 29.2% | 28.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.17
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
TE Connectivity (TEL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.