Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TEL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$117.63
Method range
$54.46 – $262.57
median $162.40
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $117.63 | -44.68% |
| Exit multiple | $207.17 | -2.58% |
| Analyst target | $262.57 | +23.48% |
| Graham number | $54.46 | -74.39% |
- Forward DCF$117.63
- Exit multiple$207.17
- Analyst target$262.57
- Graham number$54.46
Stock price
$212.65
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.31
3Y FCF CAGR
15.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$78.90
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
29.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -169.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
15.8%
Your model implies
29.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 16% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | 26.0% | 25.2% | 24.3% | 23.4% | 22.3% |
| 9.4% | 28.6% | 27.8% | 27.1% | 26.3% | 25.4% |
| 10.4% | 30.9% | 30.3% | 29.6% | 28.9% | 28.1% |
| 11.4% | 33.2% | 32.6% | 32.0% | 31.4% | 30.7% |
| 12.4% | 35.3% | 34.8% | 34.3% | 33.7% | 33.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.19
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$5.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.16
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
TE Connectivity (TEL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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