TRGP dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Targa Resources (TRGP) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.22), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TRGP sits roughly in line with the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 31, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.22
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.22 | -0.09 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.51% | +0.23pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 58% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.30% | +1.86pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 4 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$1.25
Per-event yield
0.47%
Annualized yield
1.66%
Previously paid
Jul 31, 2026 ($1.25)
Last record date
Jul 31, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 14, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Targa Resources (TRGP). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $1.25 | 0.18% | $268.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.41% | — | |
| Q2 | $1.25 | -1.05% | $250.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.31% | +1.42% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | -0.75% | $201.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.07% | +5.42% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | -0.01% | $151.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.18% | +14.22% | |
| Q3 | $1.00 | -0.92% | $167.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.07% | +0.31% | |
| Q2 | $1.00 | -3.49% | $178.11 | >30 | no | no | -13.28% | -10.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | 0.23% | $205.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.94% | -1.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | -0.35% | $166.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.36% | +13.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | 0.34% | $134.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.63% | -0.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -0.12% | $116.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.79% | -2.83% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | -1.31% | $86.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.49% | +0.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | 0.05% | $84.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.19% | +4.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | 0.16% | $80.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.99% | +2.99% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -0.54% | $74.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.07% | -6.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.35 | -1.55% | $75.35 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.34% | -3.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | 0.12% | $67.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.30% | +4.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | 0.57% | $66.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.11% | -3.50% | |
| Q2 | $0.35 | -0.19% | $75.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.12% | -0.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.35 | -1.02% | $57.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.65% | +6.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.10 | -0.64% | $54.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.02% | +2.30% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with TRGP's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical TRGP ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.01%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
-0.27%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+417.55%
Best event
+0.67%
Worst event
-10.23%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TRGP (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.18% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.37% | |
| -10.23% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.47% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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