Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TRMB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$16.04
Method range
$15.10 – $134.20
median $54.69
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $16.04 | -70.39% |
| Exit multiple | $134.20 | +147.64% |
| Analyst target | $93.33 | +72.23% |
| Graham number | $15.10 | -72.13% |
- Forward DCF$16.04
- Exit multiple$134.20
- Analyst target$93.33
- Graham number$15.10
Stock price
$54.19
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.15
3Y FCF CAGR
-20.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.21
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
22.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1590.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-20.5%
Your model implies
22.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -21% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.4% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 16.6% |
| 10.4% | 21.5% | 21.0% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 19.1% |
| 11.4% | 23.6% | 23.1% | 22.5% | 22.0% | 21.4% |
| 12.4% | 25.5% | 25.1% | 24.6% | 24.1% | 23.6% |
| 13.4% | 27.4% | 27.0% | 26.6% | 26.1% | 25.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.37
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Trimble (TRMB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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