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Fair Value for Trimble (TRMB)

See growth priced into Trimble (TRMB): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

FCF / share

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what TRMB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$15.77

Above fair value
-217.60% vs current price $50.10

Method range

$15.10 $135.73

median $43.14

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$15.77
  • Exit multiple$135.73
  • Analyst target$70.50
  • Graham number$15.10

Stock price

$50.10

FCF / share (TTM)

$1.15

3Y FCF CAGR

-20.5%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$3.18

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

21.8%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -1,476.9% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

-20.5%

Your model implies

21.8%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)11.6%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)-21%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -21% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
9.6%18.7%18.1%17.4%16.7%16.0%
10.6%20.8%20.2%19.7%19.1%18.4%
11.6%22.8%22.3%21.8%21.2%20.7%
12.6%24.7%24.3%23.8%23.3%22.8%
13.6%26.5%26.1%25.7%25.3%24.8%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday44.3
5Y low11.5
Median42.2
5Y high44.5
P/SToday5.2
5Y low3.4
Median4.7
5Y high6.0
EV/EBITDAToday25.8
5Y low7.8
Median21.0
5Y high28.1

Net debt

$1.14B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.38

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions

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