TSN dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Tyson Foods (TSN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.37), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TSN sits roughly in line with the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.51.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.37
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.37 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.83% | -0.18pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 30% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.07% | -1.08pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 27 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.51
Per-event yield
0.84%
Annualized yield
3.42%
Previously paid
Jun 1, 2026 ($0.51)
Last record date
Jun 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Tyson Foods (TSN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.51 | -1.23% | $61.02 | >30 | no | no | -9.03% | -5.77% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | -1.35% | $63.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.92% | -2.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.95% | $58.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.57% | -2.27% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -0.46% | $56.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.32% | +0.50% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | -1.10% | $56.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.35% | -0.55% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | 0.18% | $60.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.15% | +1.23% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.90% | $64.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.09% | -2.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | -1.10% | $64.65 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.86% | +2.51% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -0.56% | $57.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.96% | -1.26% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -0.04% | $53.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.30% | +0.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -0.13% | $47.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.23% | +10.49% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | -1.25% | $54.37 | 11 | no | yes | -6.35% | -3.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.48 | -0.97% | $52.38 | 25 | no | yes | -4.62% | -1.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.48 | -0.60% | $60.41 | 27 | no | yes | -6.22% | -2.58% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -0.74% | $66.45 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.04% | -3.39% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -0.85% | $76.74 | >30 | no | no | -6.59% | -3.05% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | -0.81% | $91.04 | 6 | no | yes | -9.31% | -2.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -1.96% | $93.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.34% | -0.37% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -1.44% | $81.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.47% | +3.11% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.24% | $78.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.80% | -2.00% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with TSN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical TSN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.37%
Win rate (20 trades)
70%
Cumulative P&L
-7.35%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-10.97%
Best event
+1.04%
Worst event
-5.77%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TSN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.57% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.49% | |
| -2.42% | |
| -3.05% | |
| +0.69% | |
| -2.58% | |
| -1.09% | |
| -3.38% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.78% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.80% | |
| -5.77% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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