Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TSN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$3.98
Method range
$3.98 – $71.40
median $34.10
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $3.98 | -93.03% |
| Exit multiple | $39.05 | -31.57% |
| Analyst target | $71.40 | +25.13% |
| Graham number | $29.15 | -48.92% |
- Forward DCF$3.98
- Exit multiple$39.05
- Analyst target$71.40
- Graham number$29.15
Stock price
$57.06
EPS (TTM)
$1.29
5Y EPS CAGR
-24.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.98
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
9.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,333.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-24.8%
Your model implies
9.6%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 209% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | -1.3% |
| 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| 6.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| 7.6% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| 8.6% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.11
Low vs growth
Net debt
$7.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.39
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Tyson Foods (TSN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.21% TTM
- Dividend Profile3.56% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History7 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.