TXN dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Texas Instruments (TXN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.24), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TXN sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 31, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.24
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.24 | +0.08 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.68% | -0.30pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 68% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.18% | +1.86pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 17 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$1.42
Per-event yield
0.51%
Annualized yield
2.06%
Previously paid
Jul 31, 2026 ($1.42)
Last record date
Jul 31, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 11, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Texas Instruments (TXN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $1.42 | 1.90% | $278.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.03% | — | |
| Q2 | $1.42 | -0.14% | $280.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.89% | +5.59% | |
| Q1 | $1.42 | -1.33% | $218.97 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.70% | +1.78% | |
| Q4 | $1.42 | -1.34% | $160.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.26% | +0.91% | |
| Q3 | $1.36 | -1.78% | $189.52 | 6 | no | yes | -6.12% | -1.19% | |
| Q2 | $1.36 | -2.74% | $160.77 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.65% | +3.35% | |
| Q1 | $1.36 | -0.80% | $185.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.59% | -2.11% | |
| Q4 | $1.36 | 0.01% | $207.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.95% | +5.28% | |
| Q3 | $1.30 | 1.73% | $200.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.41% | -7.77% | |
| Q2 | $1.30 | 0.11% | $181.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.10% | +5.92% | |
| Q1 | $1.30 | -1.89% | $166.04 | 17 | no | yes | -5.65% | -3.84% | |
| Q4 | $1.30 | -1.57% | $143.12 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.54% | +3.97% | |
| Q3 | $1.24 | 0.44% | $177.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.48% | -4.52% | |
| Q2 | $1.24 | -0.52% | $162.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.45% | +0.51% | |
| Q1 | $1.24 | -1.65% | $175.24 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.73% | +3.99% | |
| Q4 | $1.24 | -0.56% | $156.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +4.55% | |
| Q3 | $1.15 | -0.75% | $175.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.96% | +5.52% | |
| Q2 | $1.15 | -1.43% | $170.28 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.47% | +0.36% | |
| Q1 | $1.15 | -0.57% | $174.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.18% | -1.28% | |
| Q4 | $1.15 | -0.79% | $187.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.95% | +3.56% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with TXN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical TXN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.38%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+7.59%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+60.55%
Best event
+0.91%
Worst event
-3.84%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TXN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.61% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.91% | |
| -3.84% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.85% | |
| -1.19% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.51% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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