Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TXN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$51.87
Method range
$26.57 – $269.33
median $107.24
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $51.87 | -81.80% |
| Exit multiple | $162.61 | -42.96% |
| Analyst target | $269.33 | -5.52% |
| Graham number | $26.57 | -90.68% |
- Forward DCF$51.87
- Exit multiple$162.61
- Analyst target$269.33
- Graham number$26.57
Stock price
$285.06
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.93
3Y FCF CAGR
-19.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.82
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
49.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -10021.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-19.3%
Your model implies
49.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -19% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.1% | 45.6% | 44.7% | 43.8% | 42.8% | 41.7% |
| 10.1% | 48.4% | 47.6% | 46.8% | 45.9% | 45.0% |
| 11.1% | 51.1% | 50.4% | 49.6% | 48.9% | 48.0% |
| 12.1% | 53.6% | 53.0% | 52.3% | 51.6% | 50.9% |
| 13.1% | 56.1% | 55.5% | 54.9% | 54.3% | 53.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.84
Low vs growth
Net debt
$12.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.31
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Texas Instruments (TXN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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