Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TXN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$57.58
Method range
$31.06 – $296.06
median $116.19
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $57.58 | -80.43% |
| Exit multiple | $174.80 | -40.58% |
| Analyst target | $296.06 | +0.64% |
| Graham number | $31.06 | -89.44% |
- Forward DCF$57.58
- Exit multiple$174.80
- Analyst target$296.06
- Graham number$31.06
Stock price
$294.19
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.40
3Y FCF CAGR
-19.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$7.23
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
35.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -3,969.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-19.3%
Your model implies
35.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -19% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | 32.3% | 31.5% | 30.7% | 29.8% | 28.9% |
| 10.2% | 34.8% | 34.1% | 33.4% | 32.6% | 31.8% |
| 11.2% | 37.1% | 36.5% | 35.9% | 35.2% | 34.5% |
| 12.2% | 39.4% | 38.9% | 38.3% | 37.7% | 37.0% |
| 13.2% | 41.6% | 41.1% | 40.5% | 40.0% | 39.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.35
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$12.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.31
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Texas Instruments (TXN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.25% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.91% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.