Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TXT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$631.31
Method range
$35.72 – $631.31
median $106.18
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $631.31 | +593.14% |
| Exit multiple | $104.96 | +15.24% |
| Analyst target | $107.40 | +17.92% |
| Graham number | $35.72 | -60.78% |
- Forward DCF$631.31
- Exit multiple$104.96
- Analyst target$107.40
- Graham number$35.72
Stock price
$91.08
EPS (TTM)
$5.23
5Y EPS CAGR
30.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$631.31
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
4.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 85.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
30.5%
Your model implies
4.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
24.6%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -2.1% |
| 8.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.93
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Textron (TXT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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