Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TXT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$634.42
Method range
$35.72 – $634.42
median $103.96
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $634.42 | +591.76% |
| Exit multiple | $104.16 | +13.58% |
| Analyst target | $103.75 | +13.13% |
| Graham number | $35.72 | -61.05% |
- Forward DCF$634.42
- Exit multiple$104.16
- Analyst target$103.75
- Graham number$35.72
Stock price
$91.71
EPS (TTM)
$5.23
5Y EPS CAGR
30.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$634.42
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
4.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 85.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
30.5%
Your model implies
4.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
24.4%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -2.1% |
| 8.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.26B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.91
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Textron (TXT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks5.98% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.09% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.