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Fair Value for United Rentals (URI)

See growth priced into United Rentals (URI): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what URI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$1,817.48

Margin of safety
+43.05% vs current price $1,035.06

Method range

$163.27 $1,817.48

median $927.44

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$1,817.48
  • Exit multiple$721.13
  • Analyst target$1,133.75
  • Graham number$163.27

Stock price

$1,035.06

EPS (TTM)

$41.30

5Y EPS CAGR

25.9%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$1,817.48

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

17.6%

per year over your projection horizon

Discount vs DCF

Margin of safety 43.0% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

25.9%

Your model implies

17.6%

Next-year analyst consensus

14.3%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)13.6%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
11.6%14.9%14.5%14.0%13.5%13.0%
12.6%16.6%16.2%15.8%15.4%14.9%
13.6%18.3%18.0%17.6%17.2%16.8%
14.6%19.9%19.6%19.3%18.9%18.5%
15.0%20.5%20.2%19.9%19.5%19.2%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday20.9· at high
5Y low11.9
Median17.4
5Y high20.9
P/SToday3.2· at high
5Y low2.2
Median2.7
5Y high3.2
EV/EBITDAToday9.5· at high
5Y low6.8
Median8.1
5Y high9.5

PEG

0.54

Low vs growth

Net debt

$16B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.79

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: 0.79 to 38.69 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions