Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what URI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,716.28
Method range
$163.27 – $1,716.28
median $885.88
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,716.28 | +60.74% |
| Exit multiple | $717.46 | -32.81% |
| Analyst target | $1,054.30 | -1.26% |
| Graham number | $163.27 | -84.71% |
- Forward DCF$1,716.28
- Exit multiple$717.46
- Analyst target$1,054.30
- Graham number$163.27
Stock price
$1067.77
FCF / share (TTM)
$10.74
3Y FCF CAGR
11.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$172.91
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
38.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -517.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
11.0%
Your model implies
38.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 11% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 35.0% | 34.4% | 33.8% | 33.2% | 32.5% |
| 12.7% | 37.1% | 36.6% | 36.1% | 35.5% | 34.9% |
| 13.7% | 39.2% | 38.7% | 38.2% | 37.7% | 37.2% |
| 14.7% | 41.2% | 40.8% | 40.3% | 39.9% | 39.4% |
| 15.0% | 41.9% | 41.5% | 41.0% | 40.6% | 40.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$16.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.82
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
United Rentals (URI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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