Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WAB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$588.46
Method range
$56.06 – $588.46
median $302.85
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $588.46 | +125.98% |
| Exit multiple | $300.70 | +15.48% |
| Analyst target | $305.00 | +17.13% |
| Graham number | $56.06 | -78.47% |
- Forward DCF$588.46
- Exit multiple$300.70
- Analyst target$305.00
- Graham number$56.06
Stock price
$260.40
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.90
3Y FCF CAGR
15.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$33.93
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
43.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -667.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
15.0%
Your model implies
43.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 15% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | 39.5% | 38.3% | 37.1% | 35.8% | 34.3% |
| 8.4% | 42.6% | 41.7% | 40.6% | 39.5% | 38.3% |
| 9.4% | 45.6% | 44.7% | 43.8% | 42.9% | 41.8% |
| 10.4% | 48.3% | 47.6% | 46.8% | 45.9% | 45.0% |
| 11.4% | 50.9% | 50.3% | 49.5% | 48.8% | 48.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.38
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.97
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Wabtec (WAB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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