Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WMB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$4,043.18
Method range
$13.35 – $4,043.18
median $64.81
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $4,043.18 | +5,518.64% |
| Exit multiple | $45.87 | -36.26% |
| Analyst target | $83.75 | +16.38% |
| Graham number | $13.35 | -81.45% |
- Forward DCF$4,043.18
- Exit multiple$45.87
- Analyst target$83.75
- Graham number$13.35
Stock price
$71.96
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.20
3Y FCF CAGR
-21.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.67
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
40.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -10617.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-21.9%
Your model implies
40.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -22% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | 35.7% | 34.1% | 32.2% | 30.0% | 27.3% |
| 6.6% | 39.7% | 38.4% | 36.9% | 35.2% | 33.3% |
| 7.6% | 43.2% | 42.1% | 40.9% | 39.6% | 38.1% |
| 8.6% | 46.5% | 45.5% | 44.5% | 43.3% | 42.1% |
| 9.6% | 49.4% | 48.6% | 47.7% | 46.7% | 45.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.33
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$29.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.60
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Williams Companies (WMB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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