Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WMT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$110.11
Method range
$13.35 – $140.26
median $100.27
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $110.11 | +0.71% |
| Exit multiple | $90.42 | -17.29% |
| Analyst target | $140.26 | +28.29% |
| Graham number | $13.35 | -87.79% |
- Forward DCF$110.11
- Exit multiple$90.42
- Analyst target$140.26
- Graham number$13.35
Stock price
$109.33
EPS (TTM)
$2.85
5Y EPS CAGR
11.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$110.11
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
10.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 0.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
11.0%
Your model implies
10.9%
Next-year analyst consensus
1.9%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| 7.7% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| 8.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.9% |
| 9.7% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 14.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.86
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$56.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.60
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Walmart (WMT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.53% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.88% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History10 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.