Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WMT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$107.23
Method range
$13.74 – $139.44
median $98.80
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $107.23 | -9.80% |
| Exit multiple | $90.37 | -23.99% |
| Analyst target | $139.44 | +17.29% |
| Graham number | $13.74 | -88.44% |
- Forward DCF$107.23
- Exit multiple$90.37
- Analyst target$139.44
- Graham number$13.74
Stock price
$118.88
EPS (TTM)
$2.85
5Y EPS CAGR
11.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$107.23
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
12.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -10.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
11.0%
Your model implies
12.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
1.9%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| 6.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| 7.8% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% |
| 8.8% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.3% |
| 9.8% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 15.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.76
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$56.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.65
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Walmart (WMT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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