Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WRB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,063.93
Method range
$27.09 – $1,063.93
median $67.53
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,063.93 | +1,451.60% |
| Exit multiple | $64.76 | -5.55% |
| Analyst target | $70.30 | +2.52% |
| Graham number | $27.09 | -60.50% |
- Forward DCF$1,063.93
- Exit multiple$64.76
- Analyst target$70.30
- Graham number$27.09
Stock price
$68.57
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.70
3Y FCF CAGR
14.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$126.75
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
7.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 45.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
14.6%
Your model implies
7.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 15% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | -2.3% |
| 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | -1.0% |
| 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| 7.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| 8.2% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.79
Low vs growth
Net debt
$300M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.33
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
W. R. Berkley (WRB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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