Willis Towers Watson Public Limited (WTW) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.19), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, WTW sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 30, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.96.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.19-0.12 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.19 | -0.12 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.20% | +0.38pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.88% | +1.49pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 16 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.96 |
| Per-event yield | 0.33% |
| Annualized yield | 1.47% |
| Previously paid | Mar 31, 2026 ($0.96) |
| Last record date | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 15, 2026 |
WTW Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Willis Towers Watson Public Limited (WTW). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.96 | 0.04% | $289.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.57% | +0.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.92 | -0.41% | $333.58 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.16% | +0.14% | |
| Q3 | $0.92 | -0.16% | $342.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +2.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.92 | -0.69% | $304.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.74% | +0.50% | |
| Q1 | $0.92 | 0.04% | $337.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.59% | -10.45% | |
| Q4 | $0.88 | 0.23% | $313.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.36% | +0.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.88 | 0.08% | $293.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.28% | -1.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.88 | -0.27% | $264.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.35% | -1.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.88 | 0.22% | $274.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.56% | -2.53% | |
| Q4 | $0.84 | -0.22% | $239.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.75% | +0.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.84 | 0.03% | $211.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.80% | -1.03% | |
| Q2 | $0.84 | 0.15% | $232.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.90% | -0.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.84 | 0.33% | $230.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.88% | +3.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.82 | 0.07% | $241.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.57% | +5.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.82 | -1.29% | $206.91 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.00% | +2.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.82 | -0.06% | $198.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.99% | +1.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.82 | -0.20% | $243.39 | 16 | no | yes | -4.75% | -1.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.80 | -0.05% | $238.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.05% | -1.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.80 | -1.65% | $228.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +6.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.71 | 0.18% | $260.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.97% | +0.15% |
- +0.71%
- +0.14%
- +2.53%
- +0.50%
- -10.45%
- +0.57%
- -1.42%
- -1.29%
- -2.53%
- +0.17%
- -1.03%
- -0.44%
- +3.11%
- +5.17%
- +2.19%
- +1.59%
- -1.28%
- -1.38%
- +6.19%
- +0.15%
WTW Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
WTW Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with WTW's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $192.00
- After-tax dividend
- $124.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$57.94
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$66.86
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.12%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~5.8%
WTW Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical WTW ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · WTW (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.27% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.34% | |
| -1.28% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.33% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.