WY dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Weyerhaeuser (WY) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.34), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, WY sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 4, 2026 (±5 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.34
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.34 | -0.10 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.57% | +0.24pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.13% | +0.69pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±5 days.
Dividend
$0.21
Per-event yield
0.85%
Annualized yield
3.43%
Previously paid
Jun 5, 2026 ($0.21)
Last record date
Jun 5, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 22, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Weyerhaeuser (WY). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.21 | -1.30% | $24.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.77% | +1.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.21 | -0.78% | $24.45 | 15 | no | yes | -8.34% | -0.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | -0.99% | $22.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.67% | -1.62% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | -0.66% | $25.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.82% | +0.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | -0.92% | $26.04 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.77% | +3.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.21 | -0.40% | $30.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.50% | -1.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | 0.59% | $32.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.09% | -2.66% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | 0.00% | $30.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.54% | -0.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -0.24% | $29.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.63% | -0.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -0.17% | $34.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.03% | -0.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.14 | 0.27% | $33.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.27% | +1.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -0.13% | $31.70 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.66% | -1.96% | |
| Q3 | $0.19 | -0.51% | $33.10 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.72% | -2.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | -0.24% | $28.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.64% | +3.45% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | -1.23% | $31.68 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.73% | -3.35% | |
| Q1 | $0.90 | -3.07% | $34.20 | >30 | no | no | -10.94% | -7.19% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | 0.34% | $32.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.02% | -2.63% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -1.52% | $34.16 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.31% | +1.87% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | -0.83% | $38.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.40% | -1.78% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | 0.48% | $39.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.29% | +2.00% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with WY's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical WY ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.18%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+3.68%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-26.41%
Best event
+0.94%
Worst event
-7.19%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · WY (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.46% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.55% | |
| -7.19% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.94% | |
| -0.61% | |
| +0.85% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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