Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what XEL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$98.91
Method range
$27.66 – $98.91
median $86.60
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $98.91 | +25.14% |
| Exit multiple | $82.83 | +4.80% |
| Analyst target | $90.36 | +14.32% |
| Graham number | $27.66 | -65.01% |
- Forward DCF$98.91
- Exit multiple$82.83
- Analyst target$90.36
- Graham number$27.66
Stock price
$79.04
EPS (TTM)
$3.50
5Y EPS CAGR
4.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$98.91
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
1.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 20.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
4.2%
Your model implies
1.4%
Next-year analyst consensus
17.5%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -1.4% | -2.7% | -4.2% | -6.1% | -8.5% |
| 5.7% | 0.6% | -0.5% | -1.7% | -3.2% | -4.9% |
| 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | -0.9% |
| 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$34.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.42
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Xcel Energy (XEL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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