Bitcoin (BTCUSD) — Daily Price Character
Historical session stats from dividend-adjusted prices: win rate, streaks, record days, weekday patterns, and (when available) how often this symbol was green on S&P 500 green days.
BTCUSD
Archetype
Explosive
High daily volatility — frequent large price swings.
Win rate
51.8%
3073 green · 2778 red · 79 flat · 5930 sessions
Current streak
1 green
As of Apr 7, 2026
Max win / lose streak
19 / 14 days
Win streak return: +42.26% · Lose: 30.77%
Median / σ daily
+0.119% · 6.731%
Avg green +3.36% · avg red 2.70%
Extreme days (>3%)
30.2%
1013 up · 779 down
History from Oct 6, 2009 through Apr 7, 2026 · 5930 trading days with returns.
Trailing year — daily returns (calendar)
Apr 8, 2025 – Apr 7, 2026 · Mon–Sun (including weekends)
Monday–Sunday — average return
Average close-to-close return on that calendar day (crypto trades 24/7). Green / red by sign. Green/red day rule: ±0.01% vs prior close.
Monday–Sunday — win rate
Share of days that closed green on that calendar day (Sat/Sun included for crypto). Bars are green at or above 50%, red below 50%.
Top green days
Largest single-session gains (dividend-adjusted), by historical return.
| Date | Return |
|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2010 | +294.14% |
| Jul 15, 2010 | +123.88% |
| Jul 12, 2010 | +100.00% |
| Jul 18, 2010 | +73.38% |
| Jul 16, 2010 | +66.67% |
| Jul 14, 2010 | +60.80% |
| May 10, 2011 | +52.89% |
| Nov 18, 2013 | +48.68% |
| Nov 6, 2010 | +47.78% |
| Jul 7, 2010 | +37.93% |
| Apr 17, 2013 | +36.16% |
| Dec 19, 2013 | +35.30% |
| Jun 3, 2011 | +34.81% |
| Jun 28, 2010 | +31.82% |
| Jun 4, 2011 | +31.56% |
| Apr 29, 2011 | +30.28% |
| May 13, 2011 | +30.12% |
| Oct 8, 2010 | +29.63% |
| Jun 7, 2011 | +28.97% |
| Jul 10, 2010 | +28.57% |
Worst red days
Largest single-session losses; "Days to recovery" counts trading sessions until close recovered the prior peak (dividend-adjusted).
| Date | Return | Days to recovery |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2010 | 45.18% | 35 |
| Jun 11, 2011 | 38.83% | 597 |
| Mar 12, 2020 | 38.81% | 48 |
| Jul 22, 2010 | 35.00% | 78 |
| Jul 17, 2010 | 33.99% | 1 |
| Aug 6, 2011 | 33.16% | 3 |
| Aug 19, 2012 | 31.09% | 26 |
| Nov 8, 2010 | 28.53% | 67 |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 28.26% | 207 |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 28.03% | 12 |
| Jul 6, 2010 | 27.50% | 1 |
| Nov 14, 2011 | 25.92% | 17 |
| Aug 18, 2015 | 24.75% | 59 |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 24.34% | 1 |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 24.30% | 189 |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 23.63% | 1125 |
| Aug 3, 2011 | 23.15% | 377 |
| Sep 9, 2011 | 22.97% | 118 |
| Jul 8, 2010 | 21.25% | 1 |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 20.51% | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the daily win rate for Bitcoin (BTCUSD)?
- Historically, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed green on 51.8% of trading days (3073 green, 2778 red, 79 flat), using dividend-adjusted closes and a ±0.01% threshold for green vs red.
What is the current winning or losing streak for Bitcoin (BTCUSD)?
- As of 2026-04-07, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on a 1-day winning streak (consecutive green or red days by the same rules, ignoring trailing flat days).
What does Steady, Balanced, or Explosive mean for Bitcoin (BTCUSD)?
- We label Bitcoin (BTCUSD) as "explosive" based on the sample standard deviation of daily returns: High daily volatility — frequent large price swings.
What were the best and worst single trading days for Bitcoin (BTCUSD)?
- Largest single-day gain: +294.14%. Largest single-day loss: 45.18%. Tables on this page list the top record green and red days.
What counts as an "extreme" daily move for Bitcoin (BTCUSD)?
- We treat a day as extreme if the absolute dividend-adjusted daily return exceeds 3%. About 30.2% of trading days for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) were extreme (1013 up, 779 down).
Data & methodology
How are green, red, and flat days defined?
- We use dividend-adjusted (or close-to-close for non-equity) daily returns. Green: return ≥ +0.01%. Red: return ≤ −0.01%. Flat: between those bounds.
How is the current streak calculated?
- We count consecutive green or consecutive red days using the same thresholds. If the most recent session is flat, we skip trailing flat days and measure from the last non-flat close.
What does “vs S&P 500” mean?
- On sessions where the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was green, we report how often this symbol was also green. Shown only when benchmark data exists and the symbol is not the index itself.
Where does the archetype come from?
- Sample standard deviation of daily returns: low → Steady, high → Explosive, otherwise Balanced. Labels describe typical daily volatility, not quality of the investment.