ABM Industries (ABM) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.21), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ABM sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 2, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.29.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.21in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.21 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.01% | -0.65pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.95% | +1.08pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 23 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.29 |
| Per-event yield | 0.75% |
| Annualized yield | 2.57% |
| Previously paid | Apr 2, 2026 ($0.29) |
| Last record date | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Last payment date | May 4, 2026 |
ABM Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for ABM Industries (ABM). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.29 | -1.81% | $38.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.89% | +2.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -0.66% | $44.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.20% | +5.40% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -1.22% | $46.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.24% | -3.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.60% | $48.28 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.32% | +1.46% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -3.13% | $49.20 | 18 | no | yes | -16.97% | -9.28% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | 0.29% | $51.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.91% | -0.97% | |
| Q4 | $0.23 | -0.99% | $51.55 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.75% | +1.31% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -0.79% | $50.43 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.39% | +2.13% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | -0.78% | $44.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.40% | -2.84% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -0.56% | $44.55 | >30 | no | no | -8.01% | -3.47% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -0.69% | $39.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.94% | +11.96% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | -1.67% | $42.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.67% | +0.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -1.17% | $43.49 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.82% | +2.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | 0.49% | $44.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.94% | +2.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -2.21% | $41.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.24% | -3.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -1.19% | $42.73 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.00% | +0.01% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -1.15% | $45.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.39% | +6.15% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | 0.00% | $41.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +4.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -1.94% | $47.41 | 23 | no | yes | -6.24% | -4.49% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | -0.43% | $44.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.81% | -2.99% |
- +2.12%
- +5.40%
- -3.30%
- +1.46%
- -9.28%
- -0.97%
- +1.31%
- +2.13%
- -2.84%
- -3.47%
- +11.96%
- +0.45%
- +2.12%
- +2.74%
- -3.94%
- +0.01%
- +6.15%
- +4.60%
- -4.49%
- -2.99%
ABM Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
ABM Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ABM's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $58.00
- After-tax dividend
- $37.70
- Slippage round-trip
- -$7.74
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$29.96
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.39%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~19.5%
ABM Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ABM ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ABM (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.43% | |
| -4.49% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.56% | |
| -3.47% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.52% | |
| -9.28% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.75% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.