Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ABM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$17,288,919.32
Method range
$22.11 – $17,288,919.32
median $55.19
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $17,288,919.32 | +40,641,459.29% |
| Exit multiple | $60.39 | +41.95% |
| Analyst target | $50.00 | +17.54% |
| Graham number | $22.11 | -48.03% |
- Forward DCF$17,288,919.32
- Exit multiple$60.39
- Analyst target$50.00
- Graham number$22.11
Stock price
$42.54
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.38
3Y FCF CAGR
-12.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.33
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
26.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1722.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-12.0%
Your model implies
26.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -12% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | 22.1% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 16.0% |
| 7.1% | 25.3% | 24.3% | 23.1% | 21.9% | 20.5% |
| 8.1% | 28.2% | 27.3% | 26.3% | 25.3% | 24.2% |
| 9.1% | 30.8% | 30.0% | 29.2% | 28.4% | 27.4% |
| 10.1% | 33.3% | 32.6% | 31.9% | 31.1% | 30.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.99
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.72
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
ABM Industries (ABM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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