Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ABM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$17,333,370.52
Method range
$22.11 – $17,333,370.52
median $54.80
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $17,333,370.52 | +36,871,566.72% |
| Exit multiple | $60.59 | +28.89% |
| Analyst target | $49.00 | +4.23% |
| Graham number | $22.11 | -52.97% |
- Forward DCF$17,333,370.52
- Exit multiple$60.59
- Analyst target$49.00
- Graham number$22.11
Stock price
$47.01
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.38
3Y FCF CAGR
-12.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.34
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
27.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,911.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-12.0%
Your model implies
27.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -12% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | 23.4% | 22.1% | 20.7% | 19.1% | 17.2% |
| 7.1% | 26.6% | 25.6% | 24.4% | 23.2% | 21.7% |
| 8.1% | 29.5% | 28.6% | 27.7% | 26.6% | 25.5% |
| 9.1% | 32.2% | 31.4% | 30.6% | 29.7% | 28.8% |
| 10.1% | 34.7% | 34.0% | 33.3% | 32.5% | 31.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.99
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.59B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.69
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
ABM Industries (ABM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks8.14% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.41% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.