Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AMD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$29.60
Method range
$27.46 – $524.42
median $271.51
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $29.60 | -94.64% |
| Exit multiple | $524.42 | -5.05% |
| Analyst target | $513.42 | -7.04% |
| Graham number | $27.46 | -95.03% |
- Forward DCF$29.60
- Exit multiple$524.42
- Analyst target$513.42
- Graham number$27.46
Stock price
$552.33
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.57
3Y FCF CAGR
12.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$23.49
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
61.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2,251.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.0%
Your model implies
61.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 12% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 58.1% | 57.5% | 56.9% | 56.2% | 55.5% |
| 14.0% | 60.5% | 60.0% | 59.4% | 58.8% | 58.1% |
| 15.0% | 62.9% | 62.3% | 61.8% | 61.3% | 60.7% |
| 15.0% | 62.9% | 62.3% | 61.8% | 61.3% | 60.7% |
| 15.0% | 62.9% | 62.3% | 61.8% | 61.3% | 60.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$1.07B
Total debt − cash
Beta
2.47
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
AMD (AMD) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.25% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.00% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.