Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AMD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$29.60
Method range
$27.46 – $522.98
median $239.62
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $29.60 | -93.65% |
| Exit multiple | $522.98 | +12.14% |
| Analyst target | $449.64 | -3.59% |
| Graham number | $27.46 | -94.11% |
- Forward DCF$29.60
- Exit multiple$522.98
- Analyst target$449.64
- Graham number$27.46
Stock price
$466.38
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.57
3Y FCF CAGR
12.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$23.49
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
58.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1885.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.0%
Your model implies
58.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 12% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 55.3% | 54.7% | 54.1% | 53.4% | 52.8% |
| 14.0% | 57.6% | 57.1% | 56.5% | 55.9% | 55.3% |
| 15.0% | 59.9% | 59.4% | 58.9% | 58.4% | 57.8% |
| 15.0% | 59.9% | 59.4% | 58.9% | 58.4% | 57.8% |
| 15.0% | 59.9% | 59.4% | 58.9% | 58.4% | 57.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$1.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
2.49
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
AMD (AMD) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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