AMETEK (AME) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 89% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.10), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AME sits noticeably below the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 15, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 89%-6pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.10-0.09 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 89% | -6pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.10 | -0.09 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.01% | +0.37pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.98% | +1.05pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 21 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.34 |
| Per-event yield | 0.16% |
| Annualized yield | 0.56% |
| Previously paid | Mar 16, 2026 ($0.34) |
| Last record date | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 31, 2026 |
AME Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for AMETEK (AME). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.34 | 0.99% | $214.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.90% | -0.62% | |
| Q4 | $0.31 | -0.09% | $199.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.71% | +1.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.31 | -0.01% | $189.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.29% | -0.62% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | -1.26% | $179.97 | 9 | no | yes | -3.06% | -1.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | 1.45% | $172.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.13% | +1.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | -0.12% | $193.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.87% | -3.25% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | 0.67% | $167.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.06% | +2.30% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | -1.21% | $173.92 | 21 | no | yes | -5.39% | -1.25% | |
| Q1 | $0.28 | 0.56% | $180.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.80% | +0.85% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.17% | $156.48 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.14% | +5.01% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.46% | $151.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.06% | +0.00% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.31% | $150.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.77% | +3.82% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | 0.40% | $140.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.57% | -3.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -0.11% | $142.08 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.60% | +1.11% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | -2.30% | $126.83 | >30 | no | no | -11.06% | -6.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -0.94% | $121.75 | >30 | no | no | -12.80% | -10.92% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | 1.69% | $128.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.31% | +2.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | 0.71% | $140.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.19% | +0.95% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | 0.74% | $130.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.17% | -1.89% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | 0.48% | $136.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.24% | -4.03% |
- -0.62%
- +1.42%
- -0.62%
- -1.32%
- +1.11%
- -3.25%
- +2.30%
- -1.25%
- +0.85%
- +5.01%
- +0.00%
- +3.82%
- -3.32%
- +1.11%
- -6.11%
- -10.92%
- +2.15%
- +0.95%
- -1.89%
- -4.03%
AME Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
AME Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with AME's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $68.00
- After-tax dividend
- $44.20
- Slippage round-trip
- -$42.90
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$1.30
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.00%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~0.2%
AME Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical AME ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AME (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.15% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.17% | |
| -10.92% | |
| -6.11% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.16% | |
| -1.25% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.18% | |
| -1.32% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.16% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.