Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AME is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$181.17
Method range
$43.27 – $258.38
median $203.26
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $181.17 | -23.58% |
| Exit multiple | $225.34 | -4.96% |
| Analyst target | $258.38 | +8.98% |
| Graham number | $43.27 | -81.75% |
- Forward DCF$181.17
- Exit multiple$225.34
- Analyst target$258.38
- Graham number$43.27
Stock price
$237.09
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.86
3Y FCF CAGR
12.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$56.34
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
32.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -320.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.5%
Your model implies
32.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6% | 28.5% | 27.5% | 26.5% | 25.3% | 24.0% |
| 8.6% | 31.3% | 30.4% | 29.5% | 28.6% | 27.5% |
| 9.6% | 33.9% | 33.1% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 30.6% |
| 10.6% | 36.3% | 35.7% | 35.0% | 34.2% | 33.5% |
| 11.6% | 38.6% | 38.1% | 37.4% | 36.8% | 36.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.89B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.99
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
AMETEK (AME) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.90% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.55% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History7 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.