Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AME is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$178.45
Method range
$43.27 – $247.73
median $201.62
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $178.45 | -21.23% |
| Exit multiple | $224.79 | -0.78% |
| Analyst target | $247.73 | +9.35% |
| Graham number | $43.27 | -80.90% |
- Forward DCF$178.45
- Exit multiple$224.79
- Analyst target$247.73
- Graham number$43.27
Stock price
$226.55
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.86
3Y FCF CAGR
12.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$55.48
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
32.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -308.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.5%
Your model implies
32.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | 28.1% | 27.2% | 26.1% | 25.0% | 23.8% |
| 8.7% | 30.9% | 30.1% | 29.2% | 28.2% | 27.2% |
| 9.7% | 33.4% | 32.7% | 32.0% | 31.2% | 30.3% |
| 10.7% | 35.9% | 35.2% | 34.6% | 33.8% | 33.1% |
| 11.7% | 38.2% | 37.6% | 37.0% | 36.3% | 35.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.03
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
AMETEK (AME) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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