American Tower (AMT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.34), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AMT sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 25, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 2d+1.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.34-0.10 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.34 | -0.10 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.02% | -0.15pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.24% | +0.47pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 20 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $1.79 |
| Per-event yield | 0.99% |
| Annualized yield | 2.77% |
| Previously paid | Apr 14, 2026 ($1.79) |
| Last record date | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 28, 2026 |
AMT Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for American Tower (AMT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.79 | -1.38% | $180.94 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.39% | -2.43% | |
| Q4 | $1.70 | -0.76% | $176.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.40% | +0.63% | |
| Q3 | $1.70 | -0.85% | $194.55 | >30 | no | no | -6.19% | -3.02% | |
| Q2 | $1.70 | -1.01% | $217.70 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.26% | +2.59% | |
| Q2 | $1.70 | -0.86% | $208.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.52% | +5.46% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | -1.08% | $183.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.23% | -1.14% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | -1.02% | $224.28 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.46% | +2.17% | |
| Q2 | $1.62 | -0.94% | $196.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.25% | +0.63% | |
| Q2 | $1.62 | 0.03% | $181.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.20% | -5.13% | |
| Q4 | $1.70 | -1.03% | $216.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.64% | +0.43% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | -1.31% | $162.02 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.94% | +4.02% | |
| Q2 | $1.57 | -0.76% | $193.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.25% | -2.81% | |
| Q2 | $1.56 | -0.54% | $211.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.29% | -1.95% | |
| Q4 | $1.56 | -0.68% | $212.45 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.79% | +3.82% | |
| Q4 | $1.47 | -1.95% | $203.07 | 15 | no | yes | -12.26% | -7.79% | |
| Q2 | $1.43 | -2.74% | $241.40 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.84% | +8.98% | |
| Q2 | $1.40 | -1.68% | $263.31 | 6 | no | yes | -4.24% | +2.16% | |
| Q4 | $1.39 | -0.44% | $281.25 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.70% | +4.49% | |
| Q3 | $1.31 | -0.45% | $282.18 | 20 | no | yes | -7.47% | -5.54% | |
| Q2 | $1.27 | -0.75% | $266.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.58% | -0.42% |
- -2.43%
- +0.63%
- -3.02%
- +2.59%
- +5.46%
- -1.14%
- +2.17%
- +0.63%
- -5.13%
- +0.43%
- +4.02%
- -2.81%
- -1.95%
- +3.82%
- -7.79%
- +8.98%
- +2.16%
- +4.49%
- -5.54%
- -0.42%
AMT Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
AMT Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with AMT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $358.00
- After-tax dividend
- $232.70
- Slippage round-trip
- -$36.19
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$196.51
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.54%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~27.4%
AMT Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical AMT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AMT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.48% | |
| -5.54% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +2.16% | |
| +0.59% | |
| -7.79% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.78% | |
| -3.02% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +0.99% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.