Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AMT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$140.10
Method range
$17.79 – $309.50
median $175.55
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $140.10 | -27.83% |
| Exit multiple | $309.50 | +59.44% |
| Analyst target | $211.00 | +8.70% |
| Graham number | $17.79 | -90.84% |
- Forward DCF$140.10
- Exit multiple$309.50
- Analyst target$211.00
- Graham number$17.79
Stock price
$194.12
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.04
3Y FCF CAGR
1.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$29.84
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
26.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -550.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
1.5%
Your model implies
26.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | 22.7% | 21.6% | 20.5% | 19.3% | 17.8% |
| 8.0% | 25.5% | 24.7% | 23.7% | 22.7% | 21.6% |
| 9.0% | 28.1% | 27.4% | 26.6% | 25.7% | 24.8% |
| 10.0% | 30.6% | 29.9% | 29.2% | 28.5% | 27.6% |
| 11.0% | 32.9% | 32.3% | 31.7% | 31.0% | 30.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
4.67
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$43.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.89
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
American Tower (AMT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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