Ames National (ATLO) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 79% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.55), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ATLO sits noticeably below the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 1, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 79%-16pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.55+0.24 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 79% | -16pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.55 | +0.24 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.01% | -0.43pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.37% | +1.00pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 3 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.24 |
| Per-event yield | 0.86% |
| Annualized yield | 3.09% |
| Previously paid | Feb 27, 2026 ($0.24) |
| Last record date | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 13, 2026 |
ATLO Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Ames National (ATLO). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.24 | -1.77% | $27.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.52% | -3.17% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -1.79% | $21.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.79% | +2.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.20 | -0.60% | $19.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.61% | +2.76% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | -0.79% | $17.68 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.17% | +2.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.20 | -1.63% | $18.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.03% | +0.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.20 | -0.06% | $17.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.53% | +7.53% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -1.47% | $21.83 | >30 | no | no | -18.96% | -11.31% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.81% | $19.65 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.44% | +4.83% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -2.07% | $22.24 | >30 | no | no | -20.23% | -16.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -2.05% | $17.04 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.82% | +6.04% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -1.91% | $19.85 | >30 | no | no | -4.84% | +0.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.53% | $18.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.47% | -1.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.62% | $24.20 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.07% | +2.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -0.98% | $22.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.79% | +2.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.27% | $22.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.09% | +1.36% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | 0.34% | $23.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.79% | -1.94% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -0.24% | $24.89 | >30 | no | no | -3.58% | -1.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | -1.41% | $24.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.83% | -0.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | -0.46% | $23.97 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.34% | +1.17% | |
| Q2 | $0.26 | -0.39% | $25.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.30% | +0.95% |
- -3.17%
- +2.34%
- +2.76%
- +2.32%
- +0.11%
- +7.53%
- -11.31%
- +4.83%
- -16.73%
- +6.04%
- +0.45%
- -1.12%
- +2.07%
- +2.05%
- +1.36%
- -1.94%
- -1.12%
- -0.81%
- +1.17%
- +0.95%
ATLO Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 4 | 20% |
ATLO Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ATLO's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $48.00
- After-tax dividend
- $31.20
- Slippage round-trip
- -$5.55
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$25.65
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.46%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~23.3%
ATLO Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ATLO ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ATLO (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.03% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.05% | |
| -1.12% | |
| +1.14% | |
| +1.22% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.43% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +1.58% | |
| -16.73% | |
| +1.37% | |
| -11.31% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.09% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.86% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.