Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ATLO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$62.89
Method range
$19.04 – $62.89
median $29.53
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $62.89 | +113.34% |
| Exit multiple | $28.07 | -4.79% |
| Analyst target | $31.00 | +5.16% |
| Graham number | $19.04 | -35.42% |
- Forward DCF$62.89
- Exit multiple$28.07
- Analyst target$31.00
- Graham number$19.04
Stock price
$29.48
EPS (TTM)
$2.58
5Y EPS CAGR
0.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$62.89
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-8.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 53.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
0.8%
Your model implies
-8.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
4.7%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -9.5% | -10.6% | -11.9% | -13.5% | -15.6% |
| 5.1% | -9.1% | -10.1% | -11.4% | -12.9% | -14.9% |
| 6.1% | -6.6% | -7.4% | -8.3% | -9.4% | -10.6% |
| 7.1% | -4.4% | -5.0% | -5.7% | -6.6% | -7.5% |
| 8.1% | -2.4% | -2.9% | -3.5% | -4.2% | -4.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$39.7M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.29
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Ames National (ATLO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.45% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.99% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History2 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.