AVA dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 85% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Avista (AVA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.59), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AVA sits noticeably below the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 19, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
85%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.59
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.59 | +0.13 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.25% | -0.56pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.26% | -0.51pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 17 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.49
Per-event yield
1.20%
Annualized yield
4.80%
Previously paid
May 19, 2026 ($0.49)
Last record date
May 19, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 12, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Avista (AVA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.49 | -1.51% | $41.19 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.82% | +2.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -2.74% | $42.65 | >30 | no | no | -8.75% | -4.26% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -1.21% | $41.21 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.33% | -3.11% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | -1.22% | $36.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.76% | +1.03% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -1.10% | $39.24 | 6 | no | yes | -5.56% | +1.17% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | 0.13% | $38.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.39% | +3.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | -1.12% | $39.23 | >30 | no | no | -6.30% | -3.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | -1.23% | $38.97 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.36% | -0.94% | |
| Q2 | $0.48 | -1.78% | $38.30 | >30 | no | no | -6.42% | -4.09% | |
| Q1 | $0.48 | -2.04% | $34.33 | 13 | no | yes | -4.75% | -1.91% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -0.71% | $35.14 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.15% | +0.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -1.17% | $34.07 | 17 | no | yes | -5.28% | -3.49% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | -1.48% | $42.00 | 9 | no | yes | -3.45% | +0.07% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -2.21% | $39.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.26% | +5.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.44 | -1.61% | $38.62 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.13% | +7.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.44 | 0.20% | $44.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.87% | -3.63% | |
| Q2 | $0.44 | -0.39% | $44.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.31% | -1.38% | |
| Q1 | $0.44 | -1.33% | $42.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.36% | +4.81% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -1.28% | $39.91 | 12 | no | yes | -4.21% | -1.62% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -1.14% | $42.99 | 15 | no | yes | -4.65% | -2.13% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 6 | 30% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
Pre-filled with AVA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AVA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.33%
Win rate (20 trades)
65%
Cumulative P&L
-6.62%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+16.80%
Best event
+1.33%
Worst event
-4.26%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AVA (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.13% | |
| -1.62% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +1.14% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +0.07% | |
| -3.49% | |
| +1.31% | |
| -1.91% | |
| -4.09% | |
| +1.22% | |
| -3.17% | |
| +1.27% | |
| +1.17% | |
| +1.33% | |
| +1.19% | |
| -4.26% | |
| +1.20% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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