Broadcom (AVGO) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is comparable to the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 1.48), so post-ex noise can offset much of the dividend in any single trade.
Versus its sector, AVGO sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 22, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.65.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 1.48+1.32 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 1.48 | +1.32 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.27% | +0.60pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 85% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.15% | +0.47pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 8 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.65 |
| Per-event yield | 0.21% |
| Annualized yield | 0.62% |
| Previously paid | Mar 23, 2026 ($0.65) |
| Last record date | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 31, 2026 |
AVGO Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Broadcom (AVGO). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.65 | 2.41% | $310.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.62% | -5.30% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | 1.67% | $340.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.13% | +2.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.59 | -0.73% | $344.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.93% | -4.77% | |
| Q2 | $0.59 | 0.78% | $251.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.82% | +7.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.59 | -2.07% | $195.57 | 3 | yes | yes | -17.87% | -11.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.59 | 2.67% | $220.79 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.97% | +5.27% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | 3.72% | $161.67 | 1 | yes | yes | 2.47% | +10.48% | |
| Q2 | $5.25 | -0.99% | $165.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.70% | +2.09% | |
| Q1 | $5.25 | 0.08% | $123.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.92% | +10.76% | |
| Q4 | $5.25 | -0.44% | $114.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.99% | +2.76% | |
| Q3 | $4.60 | 0.09% | $84.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.37% | +1.60% | |
| Q2 | $4.60 | -0.92% | $86.80 | 8 | no | yes | -5.66% | +2.98% | |
| Q1 | $4.60 | -0.09% | $64.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.85% | +4.19% | |
| Q4 | $4.60 | -0.34% | $55.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.70% | +7.84% | |
| Q3 | $4.10 | -0.43% | $49.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.04% | +2.82% | |
| Q2 | $4.10 | 1.08% | $49.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.98% | +8.18% | |
| Q1 | $4.10 | -0.79% | $61.04 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.52% | +10.40% | |
| Q4 | $4.10 | 0.48% | $64.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.81% | +10.64% | |
| Q3 | $3.60 | -0.26% | $49.48 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.45% | +6.51% | |
| Q2 | $3.60 | -0.50% | $46.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.68% | +9.77% |
- -5.30%
- +2.98%
- -4.77%
- +7.43%
- -11.76%
- +5.27%
- +10.48%
- +2.09%
- +10.76%
- +2.76%
- +1.60%
- +2.98%
- +4.19%
- +7.84%
- +2.82%
- +8.18%
- +10.40%
- +10.64%
- +6.51%
- +9.77%
AVGO Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
AVGO Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with AVGO's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $130.00
- After-tax dividend
- $84.50
- Slippage round-trip
- -$62.10
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$22.40
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.04%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~1.8%
AVGO Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical AVGO ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AVGO (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +7.77% | |
| +7.28% | |
| +6.36% | |
| +6.72% | |
| +8.22% | |
| +8.31% | |
| +8.27% | |
| +7.15% | |
| +2.98% | |
| +5.42% | |
| +4.58% | |
| +4.24% | |
| +3.17% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.21% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.