Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BALL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$112.53
Method range
$19.12 – $112.53
median $76.22
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $112.53 | +112.63% |
| Exit multiple | $82.19 | +55.31% |
| Analyst target | $70.25 | +32.75% |
| Graham number | $19.12 | -63.87% |
- Forward DCF$112.53
- Exit multiple$82.19
- Analyst target$70.25
- Graham number$19.12
Stock price
$52.92
EPS (TTM)
$3.45
5Y EPS CAGR
13.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$112.53
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
3.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 53.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
13.5%
Your model implies
3.4%
Next-year analyst consensus
16.0%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6% | 0.5% | -0.2% | -0.9% | -1.7% | -2.6% |
| 8.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | -0.0% |
| 9.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| 10.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| 11.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
7.18
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$5.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.01
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Ball (BALL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
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