Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BALL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$112.90
Method range
$19.12 – $112.90
median $76.96
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $112.90 | +81.07% |
| Exit multiple | $82.43 | +32.20% |
| Analyst target | $71.50 | +14.68% |
| Graham number | $19.12 | -69.33% |
- Forward DCF$112.90
- Exit multiple$82.43
- Analyst target$71.50
- Graham number$19.12
Stock price
$62.35
EPS (TTM)
$3.45
5Y EPS CAGR
13.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$112.90
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
5.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 44.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
13.5%
Your model implies
5.5%
Next-year analyst consensus
16.2%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | -0.6% |
| 8.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
7.20
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$5.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.99
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Ball (BALL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks4.88% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.28% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.