Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BDX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$371.00
Method range
$51.71 – $371.00
median $253.97
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $371.00 | +145.44% |
| Exit multiple | $333.12 | +120.38% |
| Analyst target | $174.81 | +15.65% |
| Graham number | $51.71 | -65.79% |
- Forward DCF$371.00
- Exit multiple$333.12
- Analyst target$174.81
- Graham number$51.71
Stock price
$151.16
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.95
3Y FCF CAGR
-5.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$29.00
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
14.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -421.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-5.6%
Your model implies
14.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -6% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| 5.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| 6.0% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% |
| 7.0% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 15.2% |
| 8.0% | 22.7% | 21.8% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 18.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.19
Low vs growth
Net debt
$18.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.28
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Becton, Dickinson and (BDX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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