Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BKH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$65.42
Method range
$45.23 – $91.00
median $67.56
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $65.42 | -10.11% |
| Exit multiple | $69.70 | -4.23% |
| Analyst target | $91.00 | +25.03% |
| Graham number | $45.23 | -37.86% |
- Forward DCF$65.42
- Exit multiple$69.70
- Analyst target$91.00
- Graham number$45.23
Stock price
$72.78
EPS (TTM)
$3.84
5Y EPS CAGR
1.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$65.42
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
3.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -11.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
1.7%
Your model implies
3.1%
Next-year analyst consensus
13.0%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -2.1% | -3.3% | -4.7% |
| 7.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | -0.2% | -1.3% |
| 8.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.41
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.72
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Black Hills (BKH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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