Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BMI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$403.00
Method range
$28.14 – $403.00
median $183.18
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $403.00 | +218.15% |
| Exit multiple | $203.02 | +60.27% |
| Analyst target | $163.33 | +28.94% |
| Graham number | $28.14 | -77.79% |
- Forward DCF$403.00
- Exit multiple$203.02
- Analyst target$163.33
- Graham number$28.14
Stock price
$126.67
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.92
3Y FCF CAGR
20.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$69.09
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
28.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -83.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
20.2%
Your model implies
28.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | 23.9% | 22.5% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 17.1% |
| 6.9% | 27.2% | 26.1% | 24.9% | 23.6% | 22.0% |
| 7.9% | 30.3% | 29.3% | 28.3% | 27.2% | 26.0% |
| 8.9% | 33.0% | 32.2% | 31.4% | 30.4% | 29.4% |
| 9.9% | 35.6% | 34.9% | 34.2% | 33.3% | 32.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
4.27
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$226M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.64
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Badger Meter (BMI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.82% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.26% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.