Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BMI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$410.11
Method range
$22.31 – $410.11
median $185.36
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $410.11 | +224.12% |
| Exit multiple | $203.43 | +60.77% |
| Analyst target | $167.29 | +32.21% |
| Graham number | $22.31 | -82.37% |
- Forward DCF$410.11
- Exit multiple$203.43
- Analyst target$167.29
- Graham number$22.31
Stock price
$126.53
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.01
3Y FCF CAGR
20.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$74.50
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
27.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -69.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
20.2%
Your model implies
27.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | 22.9% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 16.4% |
| 6.9% | 26.2% | 25.1% | 23.9% | 22.6% | 21.1% |
| 7.9% | 29.2% | 28.3% | 27.3% | 26.2% | 25.0% |
| 8.9% | 31.9% | 31.1% | 30.3% | 29.4% | 28.4% |
| 9.9% | 34.5% | 33.8% | 33.0% | 32.2% | 31.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$226M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.68
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Badger Meter (BMI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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