Caterpillar (CAT) — Daily Price Character
Historical session stats from dividend-adjusted prices: win rate, streaks, record days, weekday patterns, and (when available) how often the stock was green on S&P 500 green days.
CAT
Archetype
Steady
Low daily volatility — small, predictable daily moves.
Win rate
46.3%
7488 green · 7181 red · 1503 flat · 16172 sessions
Current streak
2 green
As of Apr 7, 2026
Max win / lose streak
12 / 12 days
Win streak return: +12.09% · Lose: 12.97%
Median / σ daily
+0.000% · 1.868%
Avg green +1.49% · avg red 1.42%
Extreme days (>3%)
9.2%
805 up · 682 down
History from Jan 3, 1962 through Apr 7, 2026 · 16172 trading days with returns.
Trailing year — daily returns (calendar)
Apr 8, 2025 – Apr 7, 2026 · Mon–Fri sessions only
Monday–Friday — average return
Average dividend-adjusted return on that weekday (green / red by sign). Green/red day rule: ±0.01% vs prior close.
Monday–Friday — win rate
Share of sessions that closed green on that weekday. Bars are green at or above 50%, red below 50%.
Top green days
Largest single-session gains (dividend-adjusted), by historical return.
| Date | Return |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2008 | +14.71% |
| Oct 21, 1987 | +14.46% |
| Mar 4, 2009 | +13.17% |
| Nov 13, 2008 | +12.35% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | +11.63% |
| Dec 8, 2008 | +10.88% |
| Apr 14, 1999 | +10.86% |
| Mar 10, 2009 | +10.82% |
| Mar 24, 2020 | +10.32% |
| Apr 9, 2009 | +10.01% |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +9.88% |
| Jan 18, 1996 | +9.80% |
| Mar 23, 2009 | +9.45% |
| Sep 1, 1998 | +9.20% |
| Jul 17, 2003 | +9.01% |
| Apr 15, 1992 | +8.90% |
| Aug 1, 2023 | +8.86% |
| Apr 2, 2009 | +8.77% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | +8.74% |
| Apr 18, 2008 | +8.50% |
Worst red days
Largest single-session losses; "Days to recovery" counts trading sessions until close recovered the prior peak (dividend-adjusted).
| Date | Return | Days to recovery |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 1987 | 21.66% | 54 |
| Oct 20, 2006 | 14.52% | 121 |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 14.28% | 21 |
| Oct 26, 1987 | 12.75% | 4 |
| Sep 14, 1984 | 12.63% | 298 |
| Mar 12, 1999 | 12.23% | 20 |
| Nov 19, 1999 | 12.06% | 370 |
| Oct 15, 2008 | 11.44% | 201 |
| Sep 24, 1986 | 11.06% | 91 |
| Sep 29, 1982 | 10.99% | 10 |
| Dec 1, 2008 | 10.76% | 5 |
| Jun 26, 1990 | 10.06% | 459 |
| Mar 2, 2009 | 9.90% | 2 |
| Sep 19, 1995 | 9.87% | 99 |
| Jan 19, 1989 | 9.72% | 331 |
| Oct 21, 2005 | 9.47% | 11 |
| Mar 30, 2009 | 9.29% | 3 |
| Aug 8, 2011 | 9.23% | 5 |
| Jan 28, 2019 | 9.12% | 16 |
| Oct 27, 1997 | 8.87% | 95 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the daily win rate for Caterpillar (CAT)?
- Historically, Caterpillar (CAT) closed green on 46.3% of trading days (7488 green, 7181 red, 1503 flat), using dividend-adjusted closes and a ±0.01% threshold for green vs red.
What is the current winning or losing streak for Caterpillar (CAT)?
- As of 2026-04-07, Caterpillar (CAT) is on a 2-day winning streak (consecutive green or red days by the same rules, ignoring trailing flat days).
What does Steady, Balanced, or Explosive mean for Caterpillar (CAT)?
- We label Caterpillar (CAT) as "steady" based on the sample standard deviation of daily returns: Low daily volatility — small, predictable daily moves.
What were the best and worst single trading days for Caterpillar (CAT)?
- Largest single-day gain: +14.71%. Largest single-day loss: 21.66%. Tables on this page list the top record green and red days.
What counts as an "extreme" daily move for Caterpillar (CAT)?
- We treat a day as extreme if the absolute dividend-adjusted daily return exceeds 3%. About 9.2% of trading days for Caterpillar (CAT) were extreme (805 up, 682 down).
Data & methodology
How are green, red, and flat days defined?
- We use dividend-adjusted (or close-to-close for non-equity) daily returns. Green: return ≥ +0.01%. Red: return ≤ −0.01%. Flat: between those bounds.
How is the current streak calculated?
- We count consecutive green or consecutive red days using the same thresholds. If the most recent session is flat, we skip trailing flat days and measure from the last non-flat close.
What does “vs S&P 500” mean?
- On sessions where the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was green, we report how often this stock was also green. Shown only for USD equities when benchmark data exists and the symbol is not the index itself.
Where does the archetype come from?
- Sample standard deviation of daily returns: low → Steady, high → Explosive, otherwise Balanced. Labels describe typical daily volatility, not quality of the investment.