Church & Dwight Co. (CHD) Dividend Capture: 0.31% per event (1.3% annualized)
Church & Dwight Co. (CHD) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.14), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CHD sits roughly in line with the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 15, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.31.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.14-0.24 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.14-0.24 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.02%+0.60pp vs sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 75%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -1.86%+2.21pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 6
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $0.31
- Per-event yield
- 0.31%
- Annualized yield
- 1.29%
- Previously paid
- Feb 13, 2026 ($0.31)
- Last record date
- Feb 13, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 2, 2026
How CHD ranks in Consumer Defensive
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (40 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#1of 40
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 40
Beats ~98% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#38of 40
Beats ~5% of peers on this metric
CHD Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Church & Dwight Co. (CHD). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.31 | 0.19% | $100.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.82% | +5.57% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | 0.14% | $84.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.70% | -0.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | 0.31% | $92.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.97% | +2.93% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | 0.10% | $93.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +2.52% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -0.47% | $107.53 | 6 | no | yes | -4.18% | +0.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | 0.02% | $107.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.67% | +3.99% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | 0.16% | $100.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +2.43% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | -0.57% | $107.15 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.03% | +0.18% | |
| Q1 | $0.28 | -0.24% | $97.88 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.83% | +2.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | 0.20% | $90.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.20% | +2.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.05% | $95.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.80% | -3.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.33% | $96.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.56% | -1.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | 0.55% | $83.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.76% | +1.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | 0.07% | $74.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.31% | +4.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | 0.03% | $87.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.07% | +1.57% | |
| Q2 | $0.26 | -0.12% | $97.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.02% | -8.88% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -0.03% | $97.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.13% | -0.94% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | 0.07% | $90.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.56% | +2.43% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | 0.04% | $84.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.91% | +2.31% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.53% | $87.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.89% | +0.27% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.31
- Gap %
- 0.19%
- Pre-ex close
- $100.00
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.82%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.57%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- 0.14%
- Pre-ex close
- $84.94
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.70%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.74%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- 0.31%
- Pre-ex close
- $92.60
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.97%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.93%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- 0.10%
- Pre-ex close
- $93.16
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.59%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.52%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.29
- Gap %
- -0.47%
- Pre-ex close
- $107.53
- High touch (td)
- 6
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.18%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.33%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.28
- Gap %
- 0.02%
- Pre-ex close
- $107.88
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.67%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.99%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.28
- Gap %
- 0.16%
- Pre-ex close
- $100.48
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.46%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.43%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.28
- Gap %
- -0.57%
- Pre-ex close
- $107.15
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.03%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.18%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.28
- Gap %
- -0.24%
- Pre-ex close
- $97.88
- High touch (td)
- 2
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.83%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.09%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- 0.20%
- Pre-ex close
- $90.93
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.20%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.38%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- -0.05%
- Pre-ex close
- $95.99
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.80%
- P&L 5d %
- -3.40%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- -0.33%
- Pre-ex close
- $96.38
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.56%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.12%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.27
- Gap %
- 0.55%
- Pre-ex close
- $83.39
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.76%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.15%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- 0.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $74.47
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.31%
- P&L 5d %
- +4.55%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- 0.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $87.59
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.07%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.57%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- -0.12%
- Pre-ex close
- $97.69
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -11.02%
- P&L 5d %
- -8.88%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.26
- Gap %
- -0.03%
- Pre-ex close
- $97.90
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.13%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.94%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- 0.07%
- Pre-ex close
- $90.29
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.56%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.43%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- 0.04%
- Pre-ex close
- $84.32
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.91%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.31%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.25
- Gap %
- -0.53%
- Pre-ex close
- $87.40
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.89%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.27%
CHD Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1785%
- 2–3 days210%
- 4–5 days00%
- 6–10 days15%
- 11–30 days00%
- 30+00%
85% within 1d · 95% within 5d · 100% within 30d
CHD Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CHD's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $62.00
- After-tax dividend
- $40.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$20.00
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$20.30
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.10%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~5.1%
CHD Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CHD ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CHD (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.29% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.31% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See CHD seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for CHD?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Church & Dwight Co. (CHD), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take CHD to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, CHD touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 6 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on CHD large enough to capture?
CHD has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.14 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for CHD?
The next ex-dividend date for Church & Dwight Co. (CHD) is May 15, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does CHD compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Consumer Defensive, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. CHD sits at 100% — above the sector benchmark.
Why does CHD dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.