Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CHD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$53.43
Method range
$19.08 – $107.42
median $79.53
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $53.43 | -45.00% |
| Exit multiple | $107.42 | +10.59% |
| Analyst target | $105.63 | +8.75% |
| Graham number | $19.08 | -80.35% |
- Forward DCF$53.43
- Exit multiple$107.42
- Analyst target$105.63
- Graham number$19.08
Stock price
$97.13
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.60
3Y FCF CAGR
6.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$18.68
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
27.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -420.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
6.3%
Your model implies
27.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 6% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 22.5% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 13.2% |
| 6.0% | 26.4% | 25.1% | 23.5% | 21.8% | 19.8% |
| 7.0% | 29.8% | 28.7% | 27.5% | 26.1% | 24.6% |
| 8.0% | 32.9% | 31.9% | 30.9% | 29.8% | 28.6% |
| 9.0% | 35.7% | 34.8% | 34.0% | 33.0% | 32.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.50
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.47
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Church & Dwight Co. (CHD) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks4.08% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.24% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History8 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.