Chesapeake Financial Shares (CPKF) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 1.00), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CPKF sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 31, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 1.00+0.69 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 1.00 | +0.69 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.10% | +0.48pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -1.79% | +2.58pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 5 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.18 |
| Per-event yield | 0.56% |
| Annualized yield | 1.94% |
| Previously paid | Feb 27, 2026 ($0.17) |
| Last record date | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 13, 2026 |
CPKF Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Chesapeake Financial Shares (CPKF). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.17 | -2.66% | $32.00 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.91% | +1.16% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | 0.41% | $24.50 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.41% | +10.90% | |
| Q3 | $0.16 | 0.00% | $22.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.73% | -0.41% | |
| Q2 | $0.16 | 0.00% | $20.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.20% | -0.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.16 | 0.00% | $19.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.73% | -2.81% | |
| Q4 | $0.16 | 0.00% | $19.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.63% | +0.84% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 2.71% | $18.08 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.94% | +3.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.71% | $17.50 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.80% | -0.77% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -1.46% | $18.50 | >30 | no | no | -2.97% | -1.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -0.59% | $16.85 | 3 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +1.81% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 0.00% | $19.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.37% | +1.05% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | 0.00% | $19.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.49% | +4.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | 0.00% | $23.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.15% | +0.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | 0.23% | $21.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.23% | +0.92% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 1.15% | $26.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.73% | -1.15% | |
| Q2 | $0.14 | 0.00% | $27.75 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.00% | +1.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.14 | 0.00% | $30.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.17% | +0.47% | |
| Q4 | $0.14 | 0.00% | $29.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.85% | -0.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.13 | 0.00% | $29.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.70% | -1.09% | |
| Q2 | $0.13 | 0.00% | $26.00 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.00% | +2.00% |
- +1.16%
- +10.90%
- -0.41%
- -0.43%
- -2.81%
- +0.84%
- +3.18%
- -0.77%
- -1.86%
- +1.81%
- +1.05%
- +4.62%
- +0.79%
- +0.92%
- -1.15%
- +1.23%
- +0.47%
- -0.20%
- -1.09%
- +2.00%
CPKF Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
CPKF Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CPKF's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $36.00
- After-tax dividend
- $23.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$6.40
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$17.00
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.27%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~13.4%
CPKF Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CPKF ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CPKF (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.50% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.92% | |
| -1.86% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.53% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.