Camden Property Trust (CPT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.44), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CPT sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 30, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.06.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.44in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.44 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.57% | +0.30pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.60% | +2.12pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 18 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $1.06 |
| Per-event yield | 1.08% |
| Annualized yield | 3.87% |
| Previously paid | Mar 31, 2026 ($1.06) |
| Last record date | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 17, 2026 |
CPT Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Camden Property Trust (CPT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.06 | 0.33% | $97.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.82% | +5.61% | |
| Q4 | $1.05 | -0.83% | $105.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.83% | +3.99% | |
| Q3 | $1.05 | -0.81% | $106.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.58% | -2.00% | |
| Q2 | $1.05 | -0.91% | $113.76 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.59% | +0.53% | |
| Q1 | $1.05 | -0.21% | $122.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -16.31% | -10.79% | |
| Q4 | $1.03 | -1.08% | $118.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.21% | -0.98% | |
| Q3 | $1.03 | -1.20% | $123.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.40% | -2.45% | |
| Q2 | $1.03 | -0.65% | $109.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.60% | -0.62% | |
| Q1 | $1.03 | -0.11% | $96.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.60% | +0.62% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | 1.31% | $98.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.75% | +0.13% | |
| Q3 | $1.00 | -0.75% | $94.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.23% | +0.36% | |
| Q2 | $1.00 | -0.94% | $108.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.79% | +1.63% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | 0.25% | $102.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.14% | +2.84% | |
| Q4 | $0.94 | -0.81% | $116.78 | 18 | no | yes | -7.01% | -4.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.94 | -1.34% | $120.36 | 3 | yes | yes | -7.91% | -2.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.94 | -1.19% | $134.78 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.30% | +0.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.94 | -1.48% | $171.33 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.87% | +2.81% | |
| Q4 | $0.83 | -0.33% | $173.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.39% | +1.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.83 | 0.00% | $148.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.91% | +3.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.83 | -0.65% | $134.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.87% | +2.53% |
- +5.61%
- +3.99%
- -2.00%
- +0.53%
- -10.79%
- -0.98%
- -2.45%
- -0.62%
- +0.62%
- +0.13%
- +0.36%
- +1.63%
- +2.84%
- -4.86%
- -2.53%
- +0.24%
- +2.81%
- +1.05%
- +3.75%
- +2.53%
CPT Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
CPT Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with CPT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $212.00
- After-tax dividend
- $137.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$19.57
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$118.23
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.60%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~30.5%
CPT Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical CPT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CPT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.62% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.78% | |
| -4.86% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +1.08% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.